Forecast

Forecast

 

 

 

Variance

Variance

 

 

 

Month 5

Month 7

Movement

 

Service

£'000

£'000

£'000

Explanation of Main Movements

Director of Families, Children & Learning

0

0

0

 

Health, SEN & Disability Services

909

853

(56)

 

Education & Skills

423

973

550

Increase in numbers and costs re Home to School Transport.

Children's Safeguarding & Care

(1,494)

(2,188)

(694)

Reduced forecast on cost of Residential care and social work teams.

Quality Assurance & Performance

(54)

(74)

(20)

 

Libraries & Information Services

(1)

(1)

0

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(313)

(151)

162

In forecast above

Total Families, Children & Learning

(530)

(588)

(58)

 

Adult Social Care Operations

547

593

46

An expensive Physical Community Care case has reduced by £0.169m as now invoiced but is still being challenged.  The original commitment was £1.133m.  £0.218m balances of unused Covid  money has been moved from the Balance Sheet as there is no further claim.
There are significant reduced hours and vacancies within the Assessment and SIT section showing an underspend at month 7 of £0.413m and increase of £0.109m from month 6.
The Community Equipment Store is showing an increase of £0.120m in spend from month 6 but is showing an underspend overall due to useage being curtailed by cyber incidents earlier in the year.

 

S75 Sussex Partnership Foundation Trust (SPFT)

1,156

1,735

579

This change relates to new cases, increased costs of some other cases and a change in client contributions. 

 

Integrated Commissioning

53

244

191

Carers Support has an expected contribution which has been show incorrectly in previous months of £0.170m

 

Life Events

158

183

25

 

 

Public Health

0

0

0

 

 

Housing General Fund

2,729

2,514

(215)

Improvement on the income forecast for spot purchase accommodation (£0.300m); 'improvement on forecast for commissioning rough sleeper services (£0.217m); a forecast underspend on initiatives budget (£0.100m); offset by an increased overspend on Seaside Homes management and maintenance costs £0.190; Increased costs of leased TA mainly due to the increased cost of HB subsidy loss £0.133m; overspend in the travellers service £0.052m

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(633)

(727)

(94)

 

 

Total Housing, Care & Wellbeing

4,010

4,542

532

 

 

City Transport

541

229

(312)

£0.339m pressure in relation to leased car park profit share arrangements, and £0.129m reduction in off street parking reflecting poorer performance. This is offset by net PCN improvements of £0.250m after increased costs of PCN issuance, £0.050m improvement on on-street parking and £0.208m improvement on staffing and other costs. Hording Income has improved forecasts by £0.300m due to new large scale hoardings being issued, this is offset by £0.230m of shortfalls in highway assessment income, due to decreases in activity. £0.097m improvement in highways operations from controlled expenditure and vacancies. Inflation arrangement on Bus Shelter Advertising Income improving forecasts by £0.072m.

 

City Environment

(220)

(242)

(22)

Revised staffing forecasts reflecting vacancies

 

City Development & Regeneration

466

387

(79)

£0.030m increase in gasworks inquiry counsel fees and further reductions in net Building Control fees of £0.080m offset by planned reductions in consultancy spend and staffing vacancies of £0.188m

 

Culture, Tourism & Sport

45

10

(35)

Increased income in Tourism and Marketing of £0.028m and other  reduced expenditure

 

Property & Design

993

1,016

23

Forecast overspend on corporate utilities by £0.070m. Revised turnover rents anticipated reducing rent income in the year by £0.071m. Increased costs relating to commercial units of £0.065m. £0.025m underspend within education property management as a result of revised staffing forecasts reflecting vacancies. Offset by review of facilities works and expenditure controls of £0.157m

 

Safer Communities

(93)

(195)

(102)

Revised staffing forecasts reflecting vacancies

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

0

0

 

 

Total City Services

1,732

1,205

(527)

 

 

Policy, Communications & Leadership Office

62

159

97

Mainly driven by revision of staffing cost overspends in CEO and Policy team cost centre.

 

Legal & Democratic Services

(50)

51

101

A combination of overspends in member allowance due to governance change plus cabinet member cover offset partly by vacancy control and external income generation in legal services contribution

 

Elections & Land Charges

(137)

(132)

5

Small overspends in operational budgets offsetting part of the income

 

Customer, Modernisation & Performance Insight

(20)

(52)

(32)

Increase in forecast staffing underspends in the service

 

Finance

346

370

24

Increase in forecast audit fees.

 

Procurement (Mobo)

0

0

0

 

 

HR & Organisational Development

79

29

(50)

Increase in forecast for advertising income plus small improvement on salaries forecast.

 

Information Technology & Digital

(100)

(120)

(20)

Improvement in salary forecast and reduction in estimated Contract costs, offset by some increases in costs for the Data Centre and Microsoft Agreement.

 

Welfare Revenue & Business Support

(154)

(197)

(43)

An improvement in the staffing underspend forecast.

 

Communities, Equality & Third Sector

0

0

0

 

 

Contribution to Orbis

17

11

(6)

underspends on Internal Audit, Finance and Treasury partially offset by an overspend in Insurance

 

Directorate wide

278

0

(278)

Overspend now embedded in main service budgets.

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(278)

0

278

Recovery measures now embedded in main service budgets.

 

Total Corporate Services

43

119

76

 

 

Bulk Insurance Premia

700

700

0

 

 

Capital Financing Costs

(425)

(710)

(285)

Decrease in expected borrowing costs due to delay in borrowing, offset by reduced investment income by further reducing investment balances

 

Levies & Precepts

0

0

0

 

 

Unallocated Contingency & Risk Provisions

0

0

0

 

 

Unringfenced Grants

0

0

0

 

 

Housing Benefit Subsidy

589

589

0

 

 

Other Corporate Items

2,574

2,278

(296)

£0.238m additional profit from Homes for the city of Brighton & Hove, £0.021m unrequired working balance, £0.037m reduction in unallocated VFM savings unmet

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(1,364)

(1,327)

37

Reduction in recovery measures due to savings now met elsewhere.

 

Total Centrally-held Budgets

2,074

1,530

(544)

 

 

Total General Fund

7,329

6,808

(521)